Legislature(2015 - 2016)BUTROVICH 205

02/23/2016 09:00 AM Senate STATE AFFAIRS

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* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
+= SB 128 PERM. FUND:DEPOSITS;DIVIDEND;EARNINGS TELECONFERENCED
Heard & Held
+= SB 114 PERM FUND: EARNINGS, DEPOSITS, ACCOUNTS TELECONFERENCED
Heard & Held
*+ SJR 1 CONST AM: GUARANTEE PERM FUND DIVIDEND TELECONFERENCED
Heard & Held
-- Testimony <Invitation Only> --
Initial Presentation by Sponsor
+ Bills Previously Heard/Scheduled TELECONFERENCED
         SB 114-PERM FUND: EARNINGS, DEPOSITS, ACCOUNTS                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
9:31:15 AM                                                                                                                    
CHAIR STOLTZE announced the consideration of SB 114.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR LESIL MCGUIRE, sponsor of  SB 114, related that the chair                                                               
wishes  to have  a new  committee substitute  (CS) and  she would                                                               
talk about the points she would like to be included in that CS.                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
She began by revisiting the five  principles she had in mind when                                                               
crafting SB  114: the solution  should retain a  dividend, reduce                                                               
the volatility in  the state budget, clearly expose  the size and                                                               
cost of  government, create an  enduring solution, and  be simple                                                               
and easy to implement.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
She noted that  SB 114 is the only bill  that guarantees a $1,000                                                               
dividend. It strikes a balance  between the amount that goes into                                                               
the general fund  versus the amount that goes  into dividends and                                                               
benefits the people the most.  She said SB 128 reduces volatility                                                               
and does not  purport to fill the $5.3 budget  gap. She concluded                                                               
that the bill is understandable.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
9:36:13 AM                                                                                                                    
She showed a graph depicting  Alaska's fiscal situation comparing                                                               
spending with  how the  state is paying  for government.  Most of                                                               
the  $5.2  billion in  government  costs  is  being paid  for  by                                                               
savings. She  highlighted the fiscal  gap, noting that  only $1.8                                                               
in revenue is being earned.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
9:38:08 AM                                                                                                                    
She listed the  three proposals that have been  introduced to the                                                               
legislature, all of which use Permanent Fund earnings.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR STOLTZE asked about a House version of SB 114.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR MCGUIRE replied that HB 303 was introduced in the House.                                                                
                                                                                                                                
She  noted  that another  option  to  access  the corpus  of  the                                                               
Permanent Fund  is to  offer a  Constitutional Amendment,  but it                                                               
requires a vote  in the next general election.  Other options are                                                               
to reduce  spending and size and  cost of government or  to raise                                                               
new revenue.  She cautioned that the  people will be angry  if it                                                               
comes to this process.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
9:41:40 AM                                                                                                                    
CHAIR STOLTZE commented that a  Constitutional Amendment would be                                                               
putting a legal structure on the process.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR  MCGUIRE concurred  with  Senator Stoltze.  She said  the                                                               
discussion  about  the constitutionally-provided  Permanent  Fund                                                               
and  the  statutorily-enacted  ERA  has  been  on-going  for  two                                                               
decades.  The  legislature  has  declined to  go  into  the  ERA,                                                               
however, there  are differences  about whether  the fund  and the                                                               
ERA  should  be  enshrined  together  in  the  constitution.  She                                                               
emphasized that there  are only a few ways to  reach a government                                                               
above the  size of $1.8 billion  and the state cannot  wait until                                                               
the CBR and ERA are depleted to decide which ways to use.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  STOLTZE said  voters might  be more  inclined to  vote for                                                               
something after budget cuts are made first.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR MCGUIRE emphasized the consequences of waiting.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
9:45:12 AM                                                                                                                    
She discussed other methods of  reducing spending, size, and cost                                                               
of government  to match current  revenues and raise  new revenue,                                                               
comparing current  revenues and  those raised  under SB  128. She                                                               
pointed out that there are limits  to the amount raised and costs                                                               
in setting up  new taxes. She summarized that $3  billion in cuts                                                               
would still be needed.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
She  shared that  all three  proposals  have been  vetted in  the                                                               
Callen Report  to the  APFC Board, which  analyzed the  impact of                                                               
the proposals  to the Permanent  Fund. Callen does  not recommend                                                               
needing major asset reallocations for  the Permanent Fund for any                                                               
of  the three  proposals and  they predict  that the  fund should                                                               
remain viable.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  STOLTZE noted  that the  information was  provided at  the                                                               
request of Senator McGuire.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR MCGUIRE said the information  lets everyone know that the                                                               
plans do not erode the value of the fund.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
9:47:51 AM                                                                                                                    
She  reviewed graphs  of cash  flow regarding  how government  is                                                               
funded currently  and how it  would be  funded under SB  114. She                                                               
emphasized the simplicity of SB 114.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR STOLTZE asked if SB 114 has had legal questions.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR  MCGUIRE  noted  no  legal  concerns  with  SB  114.  She                                                               
emphasized  that every  plan has  pros and  cons. She  reiterated                                                               
that SB 114 guarantees a  $1,000 dividend, contains the potential                                                               
upside of 75 percent of royalties, and is simple.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
9:50:06 AM                                                                                                                    
CHAIR STOLTZE  pointed out  that SB  128 requires  a 3/4  vote to                                                               
drain the CBR to protect it.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR  MCGUIRE  agreed. She  added  that  it also  purports  to                                                               
create  a new  general fund,  which  is untested  and has  "sweep                                                               
ability"   and  "retrieve   ability"   issues.   She  noted   the                                                               
legislature has  generously inflation-proofed the corpus  a total                                                               
of $16 million.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
9:52:10 AM                                                                                                                    
She  addressed how  SB 114  guarantees the  $1,000 dividend.  She                                                               
showed a graph of the history of PFDs.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
She  highlighted what  happens to  the  dividend if  none of  the                                                               
Permanent Fund bills are adopted.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
She explained how the Percentage  of Market Value (POMV) approach                                                               
reduces the  amount of  volatility in the  commodity of  oil. She                                                               
suggested including  a spending cap  of 120 percent and  said she                                                               
will offer it as an amendment.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
9:54:33 AM                                                                                                                    
She showed  how the legislature has  addressed inflation proofing                                                               
by transferring a  total of $16,235.5 million. She  said under SB
114 there would  be an additional 1.9 percent and  it is a policy                                                               
call whether or  not to divide it between dividends  and the cost                                                               
of government  or transfer it  back to  the corpus. She  said she                                                               
will propose an  amendment such that when the total  value of the                                                               
ERA exceeds  the target amount  of four times the  current year's                                                               
transfer, the  excess shall  be transferred  to the  principle of                                                               
the fund for inflation proofing.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
9:56:01 AM                                                                                                                    
She summarized  the cost of doing  nothing and how the  PFD would                                                               
be  affected and  what the  budget reserves  would look  like. In                                                               
FY19  - FY21  the legislature  would  have to  make the  decision                                                               
whether to  continue to  pay a dividend  or fund  government. She                                                               
opined  that  the legislature  will  act  with a  combination  of                                                               
budget cuts,  changes to  oil tax credits,  and new  revenues, as                                                               
well as with a bill such as SB 114.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR MCGUIRE concluded  that SB 114 will add up  to $2 billion                                                               
to the  general fund.  It guarantees  an annual  $1,000 dividend,                                                               
reduces  volatility  in the  budget,  grows  the Permanent  Fund,                                                               
maintains buying power  in the corpus of the  fund, and maintains                                                               
downward pressure on state spending.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
9:59:20 AM                                                                                                                    
CHAIR  STOLTZE stated  that the  budget  reduction should  happen                                                               
first before any of the plans are adopted.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
[SB 114 was held in committee.]                                                                                                 

Document Name Date/Time Subjects
SB 128 Probabilistic Modeling from Gov.Alaska.Gov 1-22-2016.xlsx SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SB 128
SB 128 Deterministic Modeling from Gov.Alaska.Gov 1-22-2016.xlsx SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SB 128
SB 128 New Sustainable Alaska Plan from Governor's Website as posted 2-22-2016.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SB 128
SB 128 Public Testimony to SSTA - Fifth Batch (15 POMS) 2-22-2016.pdf.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SB 128
SB 114 Public Testimony to SSTA (Fourth Batch - 15 POMS) 2-22-16.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SB 114
SB 128 Projected Dividends - Status Quo vs SB 128 & SB 114 - Presentation to SSTA 2-22-16.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SB 128
SB 114 Projected Dividends - Status Quo vs SB 128 & SB 114 - Presentation to SSTA 2-22-16.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SB 114
SS for SB 114 Sponsor Presentation to SSTA - Reducing the Deficit 2-23-16.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SB 114
SJR 1 Sponsor Statement (Revised 2016).pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SJR 1
SJR 1 Backup Document - FY15 Dividend Calculation Summary.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SJR 1
SJR 1 Backup Document - Goldsmith Paper on PFD - July 2010.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SJR 1
SJR 1 Backup Document - Alaska's Economy Historical Trends and Future Outlook.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SJR 1
SJR 1 Backup Document - Department of Revenue 2014 Dividend Calculation.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SJR 1
SJR 1 Backup Document - AK PFD Economic Effects and Public Attitude - September 1984.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SJR 1
SJR 1 Backup Document - Alaska Dispatch Article $2072 2015 AK PFD Amount Announced - 9-21-2015.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SJR 1
SJR 1 Sponsor Presentation to SSTA 2-23-16.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SJR 1
SJR 1 Fiscal Note OOG-DOE 2-22-16.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SJR 1
SJR 1 Support Document - Article ADN Lawmaker's Bill Aim s to Guard Alaska PF Benefit 1-10-15 .pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SJR 1
SJR 1 Support Document - Article ADN Panelists Suggest Cuts 10-6-14.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SJR 1
SJR 1 Support Document - Article ADN $1,884 Third-Highest PFD 9-18-14.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SJR 1
SB 114 Supporting Document - APFC Callan Report.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SB 114
SB 128 Alaska Permanent Fund Corporation Letter to SSTA on Inflatuion Proofing Transfers - 2-16-16.pdf SSTA 2/23/2016 9:00:00 AM
SB 128